Home Prices Grew at Twice the Rate of Inflation in 2014 According to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices
PR Newswire
NEW YORK

NEW YORK, Feb. 24, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Dow Jones Indices today released the latest results for the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, the leading measure of U.S. home prices. Data released today for December 2014 shows a slight uptick in home prices across the country. Nine cities reported monthly increases in prices.

More than 27 years of history for these data series is available, and can be accessed in full by going to www.homeprice.spdji.com. Additional content on the housing market can also be found on S&P Dow Jones Indices' housing blog: www.housingviews.com.

Year-over-Year

Both the 10-City and 20-City Composites saw year-over-year increases in December compared to November. The 10-City Composite gained 4.3% year-over-year, up from 4.2% in November. The 20-City Composite gained 4.5% year-over-year, compared to a 4.3% increase in November. The S&P/Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price Index, which covers all nine U.S. census divisions, recorded a 4.6% annual gain in December 2014 versus 4.7% in November.

The fastest year-over-year gains were in San Francisco and Miami, where prices rose 9.3% and 8.4% over the last 12 months. Twelve cities, including Cleveland, Denver, and Seattle, saw prices rise faster in the year to December than a month earlier. Las Vegas led the declining annual returns with 6.9%, down from 7.7% annually.

Month-over-Month

The National index was slightly negative in December, while both composite Indices were positive.  Both the 10- and 20-City Composites reported slight increases of 0.1%, while the National Index posted a -0.1% change for the month. Miami and Denver led all cities in December with increases of 0.7% and 0.5% respectively. Chicago and Cleveland offset those gains by reporting decreases of  -0.9% and -0.5% respectively.

December recorded mixed monthly figures. Nine cities recorded higher monthly figures, and six posted decreases. Five cities reported relatively flat monthly changes for December. Miami had the largest increase of all 20 cities at 0.7% month-over-month.

Analysis

"The housing recovery is faltering. While prices and sales of existing homes are close to normal, construction and new home sales remain weak. Before the current business cycle, any time housing starts were at their current level of about one million at annual rates, the economy was in a recession," says David  M. Blitzer, Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "The softness in housing is despite favorable conditions elsewhere in the economy: strong job growth, a declining unemployment rate, continued low interest rates and positive consumer confidence.

"Movements in home prices show clear regional patterns. The western half of the nation plus Miami and Atlanta enjoyed year-over-year increases of 5% or more. San Francisco and Miami were the strongest. Dallas, Denver, Las Vegas and Atlanta also experienced solid gains. Phoenix was an exception to the western strength with only a 2.4% increase; San Diego was a bit under 5% at 4.8%.  The Midwest and Northeast lagged. Boston was the strongest among this weak group with prices up 3.8%. The regional patterns and the weakness in new construction and new sales may reflect decreasing mobility – fewer people moving to different parts of the country or seeking jobs in different regions."

Table 1 below summarizes the results for December 2014.  The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are revised for the prior 24 months, based on the receipt of additional source data.

           
           
 

December 2014

December/November

November/October

1-Year

 

Metropolitan Area

Level

Change (%)

Change (%)

Change (%)

 

Atlanta

119.15

0.2%

0.2%

5.1%

 

Boston

175.04

-0.2%

-0.2%

3.8%

 

Charlotte

128.47

0.2%

-0.3%

3.5%

 

Chicago

126.98

-0.9%

-1.2%

1.3%

 

Cleveland

105.79

-0.5%

-0.4%

1.5%

 

Dallas

142.77

0.0%

0.1%

7.5%

 

Denver

158.17

0.5%

0.1%

8.1%

 

Detroit

97.21

0.0%

-0.8%

2.8%

 

Las Vegas

137.41

-0.3%

0.4%

6.9%

 

Los Angeles

226.68

0.3%

0.3%

5.5%

 

Miami

192.49

0.7%

0.6%

8.4%

 

Minneapolis

140.73

-0.3%

-0.7%

1.9%

 

New York

175.24

0.0%

-0.8%

1.9%

 

Phoenix

147.98

0.2%

0.2%

2.4%

 

Portland

170.70

0.2%

0.1%

6.8%

 

San Diego

203.14

-0.2%

0.3%

4.8%

 

San Francisco

197.43

0.4%

0.2%

9.3%

 

Seattle

169.77

0.0%

-0.4%

6.6%

 

Tampa

165.19

0.1%

0.8%

6.4%

 

Washington

207.09

0.0%

-0.6%

1.5%

 

Composite-10

187.81

0.1%

-0.3%

4.3%

 

Composite-20

173.02

0.1%

-0.2%

4.5%

 

U.S. National

166.82

-0.1%

-0.1%

4.6%

 

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic

     

Data through December 2014

       
           

 

 

Table 2 below shows a summary of the monthly changes using the seasonally adjusted (SA) and non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) data. Since its launch in early 2006, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices have published, and the markets have followed and reported on, the non-seasonally adjusted data set used in the headline indices.  For analytical purposes, S&P Dow Jones Indices publishes a seasonally adjusted data set covered in the headline indices, as well as for the 17 of 20 markets with tiered price indices and the five condo markets that are tracked.

           
           
 

December/November/ Change (%)

November/October Change (%)

 

Metropolitan Area

NSA

SA

NSA

SA

 

Atlanta

0.2%

1.1%

0.2%

1.8%

 

Boston

-0.2%

0.5%

-0.2%

0.8%

 

Charlotte

0.2%

0.7%

-0.3%

0.8%

 

Chicago

-0.9%

0.5%

-1.2%

0.9%

 

Cleveland

-0.5%

0.5%

-0.4%

0.4%

 

Dallas

0.0%

0.7%

0.1%

1.0%

 

Denver

0.5%

1.4%

0.1%

0.8%

 

Detroit

0.0%

1.2%

-0.8%

0.6%

 

Las Vegas

-0.3%

0.2%

0.4%

0.8%

 

Los Angeles

0.3%

1.0%

0.3%

1.1%

 

Miami

0.7%

0.9%

0.6%

0.8%

 

Minneapolis

-0.3%

0.9%

-0.7%

0.1%

 

New York

0.0%

0.9%

-0.8%

0.4%

 

Phoenix

0.2%

0.7%

0.2%

0.5%

 

Portland

0.2%

1.0%

0.1%

1.2%

 

San Diego

-0.2%

0.4%

0.3%

0.8%

 

San Francisco

0.4%

1.2%

0.2%

1.2%

 

Seattle

0.0%

1.2%

-0.4%

0.5%

 

Tampa

0.1%

0.8%

0.8%

1.7%

 

Washington

0.0%

0.7%

-0.6%

0.4%

 

Composite-10

0.1%

0.8%

-0.3%

0.8%

 

Composite-20

0.1%

0.9%

-0.2%

0.8%

 

U.S. National

-0.1%

0.7%

-0.1%

0.8%

 

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic

     

Data through December 2014

       

 

 

 

About the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are published on the last Tuesday of each month at 9:00 am ET. They are constructed to accurately track the price path of typical single-family homes located in each metropolitan area provided. Each index combines matched price pairs for thousands of individual houses from the available universe of arms-length sales data. The S&P/Case-Shiller National U.S. Home Price Index tracks the value of single-family housing within the United States. The index is a composite of single-family home price indices for the nine U.S. Census divisions. The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite of 10 Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 10 original metro area indices. The S&P/Case-Shiller Composite of 20 Home Price Index is a value-weighted average of the 20 metro area indices. The indices have a base value of 100 in January 2000; thus, for example, a current index value of 150 translates to a 50% appreciation rate since January 2000 for a typical home located within the subject market.

These Indices are generated and published under agreements between S&P Dow Jones Indices and CoreLogic.

The S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices are produced by CoreLogic. In addition to the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices, CoreLogic also offers home price index sets covering thousands of zip codes, counties, metro areas, and state markets. The indices, published by S&P Dow Jones Indices, represent just a small subset of the broader data available through CoreLogic.

About S&P Dow Jones Indices

S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a part of McGraw Hill Financial, is the world's largest, global resource for index-based concepts, data and research. Home to iconic financial market indicators, such as the S&P 500® and the Dow Jones Industrial Average®, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC has over 115 years of experience constructing innovative and transparent solutions that fulfill the needs of investors. More assets are invested in products based upon our indices than any other provider in the world. With over 1,000,000 indices covering a wide range of asset classes across the globe, S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC defines the way investors measure and trade the markets. To learn more about our company, please visit www.spdji.com.  

S&P® is a registered trademark of Standard & Poor's Financial Services LLC ("S&P"), a part of McGraw Hill Financial. Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC ("Dow Jones").  These trademarks have been licensed to S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. It is not possible to invest directly in an index. S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones, S&P and their respective affiliates (collectively "S&P Dow Jones Indices") do not sponsor, endorse, sell, or promote any investment fund or other investment vehicle that is offered by third parties and that seeks to provide an investment return based on the performance of any index. This document does not constitute an offer of services in jurisdictions where S&P Dow Jones Indices does not have the necessary licenses. S&P Dow Jones Indices receives compensation in connection with licensing its indices to third parties.

For more information:
David Guarino
Head of Communications
S&P Dow Jones Indices
dave.guarino@spdji.com
212-438-1471

David Blitzer
Managing Director and Chairman of the Index Committee
S&P Dow Jones Indices
david.blitzer@spdji.com
212-438-3907

 

 

SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices