S&P 500 Stock Buybacks Decrease in Third Quarter
Company Buyback Activity Erratic in Q3; Mixed Results Seen for Q4
PR Newswire
NEW YORK

NEW YORK, Dec. 27, 2012 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Dow Jones Indices announced today that preliminary results show that S&P 500 stock buyback activity decreased 7.2% to $103.7 billion during the third quarter of 2012, a decrease from the $111.7 billion spent on buybacks during the second quarter of the year. Through the third quarter of this year, companies have spent $17.7 billion less on buybacks than through the third quarter of last year.

"Company buyback activity has been erratic over the past three months," says Howard Silverblatt, Senior Index Analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "Given the continued uncertainty of the fiscal cliff and the potential impact on spending, companies may have taken a cautious approach to stock buybacks in the fourth quarter.  In the background, however, is some talk of companies needing more shares to meet employee options, with more being exercised near year-end due to the anticipated tax change."

Of significance during the third quarter was Johnson & Johnson's $12.2 billion share repurchases, ranking as the highest expenditure for the quarter. Johnson & Johnson's share repurchases ($12.9 billion) was also ranked the highest during the second quarter. Both periods included the buybacks associated with the Synthes and Express Scripts merger.

Buybacks have become top heavy over the past year, with the top 20 issues accounting for 38.0% of the total buyback expenditure in the third quarter of last year, as compared to 53.4% in the current period. "Still companies are broadly participating, with 258 issues reducing their overall diluted share count (buybacks less issuance), and 192 increasing (in Q3)," adds Silverblatt. "More relevant is that 125 issues reduced their count by at least 1%, while only 23% increased it by at least 1%."

On a sector basis, Silverblatt notes that S&P 500 Health Care issues dominated the quarter with $21.8 billion in buybacks (down from $23.8 billion during the second quarter), with Information Technology second with $18.0 billion in buybacks, compared to $21.6 billion last quarter.  Energy reduced their expenditures to $6.5 billion during the third quarter from $10.7 billion.

For the fourth quarter of 2012, Silverblatt sees mixed results for buybacks, as companies react to the uncertainty over policy, but act to protect their EPS. "At this point, 2013 has a base of buybacks needed to cover stock options, many of which are solidly in the money. The determining factor will be the market and the need for shares.  If the uncertainty clears up, companies will need more shares (and expenditures) to cover options, as well as more for M&A, which is expected to follow a more stable economy." 

Historical S&P 500 buyback data can be found at: www.marketattributes.standardandpoors.com.

 

S&P Dow Jones Indices

       

S&P 500, $ U.S. BILLIONS

       

PERIOD

MARKET

AS REPORTED

   

DIVIDEND &

 

VALUE

EARNINGS

DIVIDENDS

BUYBACKS

BUYBACK 

 

$ BILLIONS

$ BILLIONS

$ BILLIONS

$ BILLIONS

YIELD

09/28/2012 Prelim.

$12,881

$189.64

$69.48

$103.72

5.08%

6/30/2012

$12,303

$195.27

$67.31

$111.75

5.35%

3/31/2012

$12,730

$208.15

$64.07

$84.29

5.09%

12/31/2011

$11,385

$186.76

$65.89

$87.59

5.67%

09/30/2011

$10,303

$206.08

$59.20

$118.41

6.14%

6/30/2011

$12,021

$202.44

$59.03

$109.24

4.88%

3/31/2011

$12,068

$195.15

$56.08

$89.84

4.52%

12/31/2010

$11,430

$187.67

$54.85

$86.36

4.42%

09/30/2010

$10,336

$176.80

$51.26

$79.56

4.45%

06/30/2010 

$9,323

$178.00

$50.44

$77.64

4.41%

03/31/2010

$10,560

$157.85

$49.28

$55.26

3.36%

12/31/2009

$9,928

$135.14

$49.04

$47.82

3.36%

09/30/2009

$9,337

$130.37

$47.21

$34.85

3.71%

06/30/2009

$8,045

$118.22

$47.63

$24.20

5.17%

03/31/2009 

$6,928

$65.29

$51.73

$30.78

7.13%

12/31/2008

$7,852

-$202.11

$62.19

$48.12

7.48%

09/30/2008

$10,181

$86.16

$61.44

$89.71

6.73%

06/30/2008

$11,163

$112.15

$61.94

$87.91

6.88%

03/30/2008

$11,511

$135.24

$61.72

$113.90

7.25%

12/31/2007

$12,868

$68.53

$67.09

$141.71

6.49%

09/30/2007

$13,470

$133.66

$61.21

$171.95

5.89%

06/30/2007

$13,350

$194.30

$59.76

$157.76

5.44%

03/31/2007

$12,706

$190.75

$58.53

$117.70

5.35%

12/31/2006

$12,729

$181.65

$61.79

$105.18

5.16%

 

S&P Dow Jones Indices

     

S&P 500 20 LARGEST Q3 2012 BUYBACKS, $ MILLIONS

   

Company

SECTOR

Q3,'12

BUYBACKS

     

Q3,'12-Q4,'04

Johnson & Johnson

Healthcare

$12,183

$51,512

Exxon Mobil

Energy

$8,000

$20,855

ConocoPhillips

Energy

$5,098

$189,716

Intl Bus. Machines

Information Technology

$3,751

$29,810

AT&T

Telecommunication Services

$3,076

$23,883

Oracle Corporation

Information Technology

$2,986

$93,018

Wells Fargo & Company

Financials

$2,584

$61,859

American International Group

Financials

$2,003

$15,924

Cisco Systems

Information Technology

$1,835

$32,899

Wal-Mart Stores

Consumer Staples

$1,775

$42,596

American Express Company

Financials

$1,632

$105,855

Philip Morris International

Consumer Staples

$1,498

$25,840

The Coca-Cola Company

Consumer Staples

$1,250

$39,804

The Goldman Sachs Group

Financials

$1,228

$42,158

The Home Depot

Consumer Discretionary

$1,216

$22,327

JPMorgan Chase & Co

Financials

$1,175

$49,141

Intel Corporation

Information Technology

$1,122

$24,827

DIRECTV

Consumer Discretionary

$1,009

$20,266

Pfizer

Healthcare

$1,004

$14,564

News Corporation

Consumer Discretionary

$973

$28,633

Top 20

 

$55,398

$935,487

S&P 500

 

$103,722

$2,917,536

Top 20 % of S&P 500

 

53.41%

32.06%

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SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices