S&P 500 Q1 2015 Buybacks Rise 8.7% Over Q4 2014
Share Count Reductions Continue by 20% of the Issues, Adding a Tail Wind to EPS
PR Newswire
NEW YORK

NEW YORK, June 25, 2015 /PRNewswire/ -- S&P Dow Jones Indices ("S&P DJI")  announced today that preliminary results show that S&P 500® first quarter 2015 stock buybacks, or share repurchases, increased 8.7% to $144.2 billion, up from the $132.6 billion posted in Q4 2014.

Historical S&P 500 buyback data can be found at: www.spdji.com/indices/equity/sp-500

According to S&P Dow Jones Indices:

  • The $144.1 billion Q1 spend represents a 9.5% decrease from the $159.2 billion spent during Q1 2014.
  • For the 1-year period ending March 2015, S&P 500 issues ticked up their buyback expenditures by 0.6% to $538.1 billion from $534.9 billion posted in the prior 12-month period.
  • For the fifth consecutive quarter, over 20% of the S&P 500 issues reduced their year-over-year diluted share count by at least 4%, therefore boosting their EPS by at least 4%.
  • The high mark quarter was reached in Q3 2007, when companies spent $172.0 billion.
  • The recession quarterly low point was $24.2 billion, recorded in Q2 2009.

"The continued takeaway is that over 20% of the companies are buying their earnings-per-share (EPS) growth via buybacks," says Howard Silverblatt, Senior Index Analyst at S&P Dow Jones Indices. "The reduced share count has significantly increased EPS for a fifth of the companies in the S&P 500 by at least 4% year-over-year in each of the past five quarters."

"Reduced share count comes at a time when earnings growth is becoming the key quest for most companies.  Share count reduction now appears to be their favorite tool for enhancing earnings. At this point, even if diluted share counts are flat for the second quarter, 12% of the index will have at least a 4% tail wind built-in to the upcoming earnings. And 'Flat shares' haven't been the talk on the street or from the board room," adds Silverblatt.

Additionally, S&P Dow Jones Indices data shows:

  • Fewer issues reduced their share count this quarter than last, with 299 doing so in Q1 2015, down from 308 in Q4 2014, but up from 290 in Q1 2014.
  • Significant changes (generally considered 1% or greater for the quarter) continued to be strong, but did not increase for the quarter, as 116 issues reduced their share count by at least 1%, compared to last quarter's 117 and the 123 which did so in Q1 2014.
  • Share count reduction change impacts of at least 4% (Q1 2015 over Q1 2014), which can be seen in EPS comparisons, were up, at 104 in Q1 2015 from 99 posted in both Q4 2014 and Q1 2014.

Total Shareholder Returns:

Silverblatt also notes that total shareholders' returns, through regular cash dividends, as well as buybacks, increased to $237.7 billion, or 5.4% over Q4 2014, but still trailed the $241.2 billion quarterly record set in Q1 2014. For the trailing 12-month period, companies returned $900.2 billion in buybacks and dividends, which was slightly less than the record holding 12-month Q4 2014 amount of $903.7 billion.

Silverblatt stated that issues used significantly more cash in Q1 than they took in, as cash levels for the S&P 500 Industrial (Old) fell to $1.23 trillion, from the record $1.33 trillion set at the end of 2014. 

"The shareholder return trend is now entrenched in the market – many investors now expect continued buybacks, as buybacks have now become part of the market support system," says Silverblatt. "The logic of market (and economic) support offered from low interest rates, has been extended to buybacks. Based on the current data, absent a major catastrophe or government action, dividends will safely set a new record for 2015.  Buybacks, however, are more discretionary and can be modified quickly. Given the pressure on buybacks from investors, companies need to show immediate use for the cash if they pull back on buybacks - at this point, M&A would be the only type of acceptable expenditure."   

Sectors:

On a sector basis, Information Technology continued to dominate buybacks as their percentage of the Q1 2015 buybacks remained constant at 24.3%, slightly up the 24.2% posted last quarter.  Consumer Discretionary notably declined to 13.3% from the prior quarter's 17.2%, however, the sector is cyclical.  Telecommunications was the eye-catcher, as Verizon Communications (VZ) entered the buyback market with a $5 billion expenditure, bringing the total sector spend to $5.18 billion, after posting $92 million last quarter. Verizon's last reported buyback expenditure was $153 million in Q1 2013, and prior to that, in Q3 2008, Verizon spent $252 million.  

For the quarter Apple (AAPL) continued to lead with $7.0 billion spent, up 38.6% from their $5.0 billion Q4 expenditure.  Pfizer (PFE) came in second with $6.0 billion, up from the prior quarter's $1.2 billion, followed by Microsoft (MSFT) with $5.1 billion, up from $2.1 billion. Verizon (VZ), and Gilead Sciences (GILD), rounded out the top-five buyback spenders.  Notable off the top-5 list was Exxon Mobile (XOM), which ranked 16th for the quarter, with $1.8 billion in buybacks, down from their $3.3 billion Q4 2014 expenditure.

For more information, please visit www.spdji.com

S&P Dow Jones Indices

             

S&P 500, $ U.S. BILLIONS, preliminary values in bold

           

PERIOD

MARKET

VALUE

$ BILLIONS

OPERATING

EARNINGS

$ BILLIONS

AS REPORTED

EARNINGS

$ BILLIONS

 

DIVIDENDS

$ BILLIONS

     

DIVIDEND &

BUYBACK 

YIELD

DIVIDENDS

& BUYBACKS

$ BILLION

BUYBACKS

$ BILLIONS

DIVIDEND

YIELD

BUYBACK

YIELD

3/31/2015 Prelim.

$18,303

$228.36

$193.05

$93.55

$144.13

1.98%

2.94%

4.92%

$237.69

12/30/2014

$18,245

$237.14

$202.31

$92.80

$132.63

1.92%

3.03%

4.95%

$225.43

9/30/2014

$17,519

$262.92

$244.00

$89.02

$145.19

1.96%

3.14%

5.10%

$234.22

6/30/2014

$17,404

$260.50

$240.96

$86.65

$116.17

1.91%

3.06%

4.98%

$202.82

3/31/2014

$16,700

$243.67

$221.82

$81.96

$159.28

1.93%

3.20%

5.14%

$241.24

12/31/2013

$16,495

$252.10

$236.31

$84.98

$129.41

1.89%

2.88%

4.77%

$214.40

9/30/2013

$14,960

$239.50

$219.13

$79.26

$128.16

2.05%

2.98%

5.03%

$207.42

6/30/2013

$14,310

$234.84

$221.56

$76.67

$118.05

2.07%

2.94%

5.02%

$194.72

3/31/2013

$13,979

$229.57

$215.76

$70.86

$99.97

2.06%

2.97%

5.02%

$170.82

12/31/2012

$12,742

$206.84

$184.50

$79.83

$99.15

2.20%

3.13%

5.33%

$178.98

9/30/2012

$12,881

$214.58

$189.64

$69.48

$103.72

2.07%

3.01%

5.08%

$173.20

6/30/2012

$12,303

$229.69

$195.27

$67.31

$111.75

2.08%

3.27%

5.35%

$179.05

3/31/2012

$12,730

$219.09

$208.15

$64.07

$84.29

1.95%

3.14%

5.09%

$148.37

12/31/2011

$11,385

$214.83

$186.85

$65.89

$87.59

2.11%

3.56%

5.67%

$153.47

09/30/2011

$10,303

$230.30

$206.08

$59.20

$118.41

2.22%

3.92%

6.14%

$177.61

6/30/2011

$12,021

$226.29

$202.44

$59.03

$109.24

1.84%

3.04%

4.88%

$168.27

3/31/2011

$12,068

$205.34

$195.15

$56.08

$89.84

1.76%

2.76%

4.52%

$145.91

12/31/2010

$11,430

$199.40

$187.67

$54.85

$86.36

1.80%

2.61%

4.42%

$141.21

09/30/2010

$10,336

$195.28

$176.80

$51.26

$79.56

1.94%

2.52%

4.45%

$130.81

06/30/2010 

$9,323

$189.04

$178.00

$50.44

$77.64

2.10%

2.31%

4.41%

$128.08

03/31/2010

$10,560

$175.00

$157.85

$49.28

$55.26

1.83%

1.54%

3.36%

$104.54

12/31/2009

$9,928

$152.77

$135.14

$49.04

$47.82

1.97%

1.39%

3.36%

$96.86

09/30/2009

$9,337

$139.37

$130.37

$47.21

$34.85

2.24%

1.48%

3.71%

$82.06

06/30/2009

$8,045

$120.85

$118.22

$47.63

$24.20

2.01%

1.28%

3.29%

$71.83

03/31/2009 

$6,928

$87.78

$65.29

$51.73

$30.78

1.64%

1.14%

2.78%

$82.51

12/31/2008

$7,852

-$0.78

-$202.11

$62.19

$48.12

0.79%

0.61%

1.40%

$110.31

                 

 

 

S&P Dow Jones Indices

               

S&P 500 SECTOR BUYBACKS

               

SECTOR $ MILLIONS

Q1,'15

Q4,'14

Q1,'14

12 MO 3/15

12 MO 3/14

5-YEARS

2007 YR

Q2,'09

Q3,'07

             

(high)

(low)

(high)

Consumer Discretionary

$19,230

$22,841

$18,610

$82,367

$73,508

$346,838

$80,435

$2,350

$34,902

Consumer Staples

$10,873

$11,817

$12,031

$41,190

$44,469

$234,067

$51,589

$4,013

$16,088

Energy

$5,538

$10,311

$13,091

$33,375

$45,707

$186,329

$67,031

$5,343

$14,717

Financials

$22,526

$19,371

$18,262

$79,668

$63,784

$271,700

$107,328

$1,170

$27,762

Healthcare

$20,897

$15,104

$15,814

$65,152

$61,006

$307,729

$63,775

$4,699

$18,660

Industrials

$20,124

$15,535

$22,024

$64,818

$66,779

$231,438

$54,806

$1,681

$17,521

Information Technology

$34,976

$32,046

$49,182

$140,497

$153,045

$536,961

$121,974

$4,757

$23,904

Materials

$4,397

$5,007

$8,534

$24,043

$15,920

$59,982

$13,586

$159

$6,503

Telecommunication Services

$5,185

$92

$1,565

$5,887

$9,947

$36,106

$17,627

$13

$3,947

Utilities

$386

$511

$164

$1,134

$732

$9,393

$10,963

$10

$7,943

TOTAL

$144,133

$132,634

$159,277

$538,131

$534,897

$2,220,543

$589,113

$24,195

$171,947

                   

SECTOR BUYBACK MAKEUP %

Q1,'15

Q4,'14

Q1,'14

12 MO 3/15

12 MO 3/14

5-YEARS

2007 YR

Q2,'09

Q3,'09

Consumer Discretionary

13.34%

17.22%

11.68%

15.31%

13.74%

15.62%

13.65%

9.71%

20.30%

Consumer Staples

7.54%

8.91%

7.55%

7.65%

8.31%

10.54%

8.76%

16.59%

9.36%

Energy

3.84%

7.77%

8.22%

6.20%

8.55%

8.39%

11.38%

22.08%

8.56%

Financials

15.63%

14.60%

11.47%

14.80%

11.92%

12.24%

18.22%

4.84%

16.15%

Healthcare

14.50%

11.39%

9.93%

12.11%

11.41%

13.86%

10.83%

19.42%

10.85%

Industrials

13.96%

11.71%

13.83%

12.05%

12.48%

10.42%

9.30%

6.95%

10.19%

Information Technology

24.27%

24.16%

30.88%

26.11%

28.61%

24.18%

20.70%

19.66%

13.90%

Materials

3.05%

3.78%

5.36%

4.47%

2.98%

2.70%

2.31%

0.66%

3.78%

Telecommunication Services

3.60%

0.07%

0.98%

1.09%

1.86%

1.63%

2.99%

0.05%

2.30%

Utilities

0.27%

0.39%

0.10%

0.21%

0.14%

0.42%

1.86%

0.04%

4.62%

TOTAL

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

100.00%

                   

 

S&P Dow Jones Indices

     

S&P 500 Q1 2015 Buyback Report

   
       

SECTOR

DIVIDEND

BUYBACK 

COMBINED

 

YIELD

YIELD

YIELD

Consumer Discretionary

1.46%

3.15%

4.61%

Consumer Staples

2.65%

2.06%

4.71%

Energy

3.11%

2.27%

5.38%

Financials

1.87%

2.40%

4.27%

HealthCare

1.46%

2.24%

3.70%

Industrials

2.21%

3.32%

5.54%

Information Technology

1.53%

3.46%

4.99%

Materials

2.00%

3.85%

5.85%

Telecommunication Services

4.93%

1.41%

6.34%

Utilities

3.84%

0.21%

4.05%

S&P 500

2.01%

2.70%

4.72%

   Uses full values (unadjusted for float)

   

   Dividends based on indicated; buybacks based on the last 12-months ending Q1,'15

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices

     

 

S&P Dow Jones Indices

             

S&P 500 20 LARGEST Q1 2015 BUYBACKS, $ MILLIONS 

         

Company  

Ticker

Sector

Q1,'15

12-Month

5-Year

10-Year

Indicated

     

Buybacks

Buybacks

Buybacks

Buybacks

Dividend

     

$ Million

$ Million

$ Million

$ Million

$ Million

Apple

AAPL

Information Technology

$6,970

$34,000

$79,860

$80,215

$12,115

Pfizer 

PFE

Healthcare

$6,000

$8,480

$41,585

$59,469

$6,864

Microsoft 

MSFT

Information Technology

$5,131

$11,334

$43,263

$123,667

$10,173

Verizon Communications

VZ

Telecommunication Services

$5,000

$5,000

$5,153

$11,142

$9,142

Gilead Sciences

GILD

Healthcare

$3,001

$7,900

$15,842

$20,005

$0

United Technologies 

UTX

Industrials

$3,000

$4,165

$9,575

$19,470

$2,275

Wells Fargo 

WFC

Financials

$2,592

$10,981

$23,749

$37,549

$7,728

The Boeing 

BA

Industrials

$2,500

$6,001

$10,302

$18,223

$2,564

Johnson & Johnson

JNJ

Healthcare

$2,198

$8,548

$29,433

$51,031

$8,341

Twenty-First Century Fox

FOXA

Consumer Discretionary

$2,054

$5,804

$13,876

$17,817

$638

CVS Health 

CVS

Consumer Staples

$2,007

$5,207

$17,480

$26,237

$1,575

Comcast Corporation

CMCSA

Consumer Discretionary

$2,000

$5,501

$14,292

$24,628

$2,541

Oracle 

ORCL

Information Technology

$1,992

$8,051

$34,183

$47,168

$2,635

QUALCOMM 

QCOM

Information Technology

$1,947

$6,156

$15,153

$20,813

$3,167

JPMorgan Chase

JPM

Financials

$1,900

$6,274

$24,964

$37,230

$6,562

Exxon Mobil 

XOM

Energy

$1,781

$11,104

$84,683

$219,129

$12,248

Mondelez International

MDLZ

Consumer Staples

$1,500

$2,732

$4,039

$7,897

$990

Illinois Tool Works

ITW

Industrials

$1,479

$2,920

$9,229

$12,280

$736

American International Group

AIG

Financials

$1,398

$5,433

$19,967

$27,011

$686

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

LYB

Materials

$1,359

$4,080

$7,230

$7,230

$1,489

Top 20   

   

$55,809

$159,671

$503,858

$868,211

$92,470

S&P 500

   

$144,133

$538,131

$3,673,851

$4,041,208

$398,097

Top 20 % of S&P 500

   

38.72%

29.67%

13.71%

21.48%

23.23%

   Gross values are not adjusted for float

           

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices

             

 

S&P Dow Jones Indices

         

S&P 500 INDUSTRIAL (OLD) CASH AND EQUIVALENT LEVELS 

   
             

DATE

CASH & 

EQUIVALENT

$ MILLIONS

% HELD 

AS CASH

% SHORT-TERM

SECURITIES

CASH %

OF LTD

LTD % OF

MARKET

VALUE

CASH % OF

MARKET

VALUE

 
 

03/31/2015Prelim.

$1,225,482

56.33%

43.67%

42.47%

18.59%

7.90%

12/31/2014

$1,333,280

60.06%

39.94%

50.15%

17.78%

8.92%

9/30/2014

$1,246,063

58.01%

41.99%

48.91%

17.18%

8.40%

6/30/2014

$1,249,892

54.06%

45.94%

49.60%

17.01%

8.44%

3/31/2014

$1,233,070

58.63%

41.37%

49.49%

17.86%

8.84%

12/31/2013

$1,304,447

61.84%

38.16%

53.21%

17.68%

9.41%

9/30/2013

$1,245,790

60.36%

39.64%

55.46%

19.09%

10.59%

6/30/2013

$1,143,837

58.30%

41.70%

59.95%

16.02%

9.60%

3/31/2013

$1,093,516

60.14%

39.86%

58.76%

15.91%

9.35%

12/31/2012

$1,091,310

63.39%

36.61%

53.21%

18.94%

10.08%

9/30/2012

$1,030,442

64.20%

35.80%

58.93%

15.93%

9.39%

6/30/2012

$985,375

63.89%

36.11%

55.00%

17.26%

9.49%

3/31/2012

$1,013,187

65.98%

34.02%

50.96%

18.36%

9.36%

12/31/2011

$1,027,296

68.14%

31.86%

52.40%

20.39%

10.69%

9/30/2011

$998,581

64.66%

35.34%

52.56%

21.85%

11.48%

6/30/2011

$976,061

65.01%

34.99%

59.05%

17.32%

10.23%

3/31/2011

$963,314

67.28%

32.72%

52.62%

18.39%

9.68%

Cash and equivalents (cash) are classified under current assets on the balance sheet, and represent the readily available discretionary liquid assets of a company. Cash is measured for the S&P Industrials (Old), which consist of the S&P 500 minus Financials, Utilities and Transportation issues since these issues maintain high cash reserves as part of their normal operating process [Note: The S&P Industrials (Old) date back for decades. When the GICS classifications were developed, one of the new sectors was the Industrials, so the former group is referred to as the S&P Industrials (Old)].

 

Source: S&P Dow Jones Indices

 

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SOURCE S&P Dow Jones Indices