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LONDON, April 12, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- European power prices rebounded in March from lows seen in February, but remain significantly below March 2014 levels as reduced feedstock and CO2 costs added bearishness to a healthy supply picture, according to data released by Platts, the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodities and energy markets.
Continental European day-ahead prices climbed 3.4% to €25.83 per megawatt hour (MWh) in March compared to February. On a year-over-year basis, however, the index was down 32.8%.
German wind power is firmly entrenched as the key fundamental in near-term European continental power price formation. In a slightly colder, calmer March, a dip in wind output prompted the average day-ahead power price in Germany to rise 8% to €24.17/MWh. However, year over year, the monthly average price was down 22% compared to the March 2015 level of €30.96/MW.
In terms of natural gas, the European market continued to trade sideways through March, before weakening in early April. A healthy supply picture pushed prices downwards towards the Continental coal switching price - at which point natural gas becomes competitive with coal in power generation.
Platts' regional analysis of European power and gas markets showed the following:
-- Germany: wind output in March was barely more than half of February's record, and down 19% year over year. Solar lagged last year's output. March was the first month since October 2015 to see wind output dip below 10 terawatt hours (TWh). On average, wind turbines generated 8.7 GW each hour in March, down from 15.2 GW in February.
-- France: day-ahead baseload power averaged €26.93/MWh in March, up 3% on February as temperatures fell below seasonal norms, prompting electric heat demand. Year over year, however, French prompt prices were down nearly 40%, reflecting the steep decline in power-related commodity costs.
-- U.K. power: day-ahead power edged up 2% to £33.89/MWh in March compared to February, but was down 16% in comparison to March 2015. A strong uptick in gas-fired power generation amid reduced wind generation was behind the modest strengthening, which was offset by an early Easter holiday period.
-- U.K. gas: National Balancing Point (NBP) day-ahead gas prices were in line with February levels, but remained substantially lower from a longer-term perspective. They were down 37.36% on a 12-month basis, on the back of continued bearish fundamentals of ample supply and weak oil prices. Supply to the UK increased from both Norway and the Netherlands.
-- Dutch gas: on the TTF, continental Europe's most heavily traded gas hub, spot gas prices averaged €12.243/MWh through March, down 1.3% from February and a full 44% lower on a year-over-year basis. Weather was generally a bearish factor as it was for the whole winter season, with temperatures only rarely providing scope for price upside.
As of April 6, several factors helped gas storage operators to inject gas into stores at a stronger-than-anticipated rate, reducing the 'sink' available to the market later this year when liquefied natural gas (LNG) deliveries are expected to ramp up. Such factors included: the lack of a significant reduction in Russian natural gas flows into northwest Europe; a sharp turn up in Algerian flows to Italy; and, a cut in exports from west Europe to Ukraine.
Platts Continental Europe and U.K. Day-Ahead Monthly Averages Mar-16 Feb-16 Mar-15 CONTI* (EUR/MWh) 25.83 24.97 38.45 TTF (EUR/MWh) 12.24 12.40 21.86 U.K. Power (BPS/MWh) 33.89 33.23 40.28 U.K. Gas (pence/therm) 29.57 29.54 47.20 Source: Platts
NOTE: All figures are monthly averages of daily day-ahead contract prices as assessed by Platts.
For more information on electric power or the methodology used by Platts in its power assessments, visit the Platts website www.platts.com.
* The Platts CONTI is a demand-weighted baseload average of day-ahead contracts assessed in Germany, Switzerland, France, Belgium and the Netherlands. The Platts U.K. assessments reflect day-ahead contracts assessed for firm delivery of power on the high voltage network of England, Wales and Scotland, and at the National Balancing Point (NBP) for gas. The Platts assessments reflect prices as determined between buyer and seller in the open physical markets.
CONTACT
Global, Americas, Asia: Kathleen Tanzy, + 1 917 331 4607, kathleen.tanzy@platts.com
About Platts: Platts is the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodities and energy markets. Customers in over 150 countries look to Platts' expertise in news, pricing and analytics to deliver greater transparency and efficiency to markets and help them make better informed trading and business decisions. Founded in 1909, Platts' coverage includes oil and gas, power, petrochemicals, metals, agriculture and shipping. A division of McGraw Hill Financial, Platts is headquartered in London and employs over 1,000 people in more than 15 offices worldwide. Additional information is available at http://www.platts.com.
About McGraw Hill Financial: McGraw Hill Financial (NYSE: MHFI) is a leading financial intelligence company providing the global capital and commodity markets with independent benchmarks, credit ratings, portfolio and enterprise risk solutions, and analytics. The Company's iconic brands include Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, S&P Capital IQ and SNL, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Platts, CRISIL and J.D. Power. The Company has approximately 20,000 employees in 31 countries. Additional information is available at www.mhfi.com.
SOURCE: Platts
European Spot Power Prices Edged Higher in March
PR Newswire
LONDON, April 12, 2016
LONDON, April 12, 2016 /PRNewswire/ -- European power prices rebounded in March from lows seen in February, but remain significantly below March 2014 levels as reduced feedstock and CO2 costs added bearishness to a healthy supply picture, according to data released by Platts, the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodities and energy markets.
Continental European day-ahead prices climbed 3.4% to €25.83 per megawatt hour (MWh) in March compared to February. On a year-over-year basis, however, the index was down 32.8%.
German wind power is firmly entrenched as the key fundamental in near-term European continental power price formation. In a slightly colder, calmer March, a dip in wind output prompted the average day-ahead power price in Germany to rise 8% to €24.17/MWh. However, year over year, the monthly average price was down 22% compared to the March 2015 level of €30.96/MW.
In terms of natural gas, the European market continued to trade sideways through March, before weakening in early April. A healthy supply picture pushed prices downwards towards the Continental coal switching price – at which point natural gas becomes competitive with coal in power generation.
Platts' regional analysis of European power and gas markets showed the following:
- Germany: wind output in March was barely more than half of February's record, and down 19% year over year. Solar lagged last year's output. March was the first month since October 2015 to see wind output dip below 10 terawatt hours (TWh). On average, wind turbines generated 8.7 GW each hour in March, down from 15.2 GW in February.
- France: day-ahead baseload power averaged €26.93/MWh in March, up 3% on February as temperatures fell below seasonal norms, prompting electric heat demand. Year over year, however, French prompt prices were down nearly 40%, reflecting the steep decline in power-related commodity costs.
- U.K. power: day-ahead power edged up 2% to £33.89/MWh in March compared to February, but was down 16% in comparison to March 2015. A strong uptick in gas-fired power generation amid reduced wind generation was behind the modest strengthening, which was offset by an early Easter holiday period.
- U.K. gas: National Balancing Point (NBP) day-ahead gas prices were in line with February levels, but remained substantially lower from a longer-term perspective. They were down 37.36% on a 12-month basis, on the back of continued bearish fundamentals of ample supply and weak oil prices. Supply to the UK increased from both Norway and the Netherlands.
- Dutch gas: on the TTF, continental Europe's most heavily traded gas hub, spot gas prices averaged €12.243/MWh through March, down 1.3% from February and a full 44% lower on a year-over-year basis. Weather was generally a bearish factor as it was for the whole winter season, with temperatures only rarely providing scope for price upside.
As of April 6, several factors helped gas storage operators to inject gas into stores at a stronger-than-anticipated rate, reducing the 'sink' available to the market later this year when liquefied natural gas (LNG) deliveries are expected to ramp up. Such factors included: the lack of a significant reduction in Russian natural gas flows into northwest Europe; a sharp turn up in Algerian flows to Italy; and, a cut in exports from west Europe to Ukraine.
Platts Continental Europe and U.K. Day-Ahead Monthly Averages |
||||
Mar-16 |
Feb-16 |
Mar-15 |
||
CONTI* (€/MWh) |
25.83 |
24.97 |
38.45 |
|
TTF (€/MWh) |
12.24 |
12.40 |
21.86 |
|
U.K. Power (£/MWh) |
33.89 |
33.23 |
40.28 |
|
U.K. Gas (pence/therm) |
29.57 |
29.54 |
47.20 |
|
Source: Platts |
NOTE: All figures are monthly averages of daily day-ahead contract prices as assessed by Platts.
For more information on electric power or the methodology used by Platts in its power assessments, visit the Platts website www.platts.com.
* The Platts CONTI is a demand-weighted baseload average of day-ahead contracts assessed in Germany, Switzerland, France, Belgium and the Netherlands. The Platts U.K. assessments reflect day-ahead contracts assessed for firm delivery of power on the high voltage network of England, Wales and Scotland, and at the National Balancing Point (NBP) for gas. The Platts assessments reflect prices as determined between buyer and seller in the open physical markets.
CONTACT
Global, Americas, Asia: Kathleen Tanzy, + 1 917 331 4607, kathleen.tanzy@platts.com
About Platts: Platts is the leading independent provider of information and benchmark prices for the commodities and energy markets. Customers in over 150 countries look to Platts' expertise in news, pricing and analytics to deliver greater transparency and efficiency to markets and help them make better informed trading and business decisions. Founded in 1909, Platts' coverage includes oil and gas, power, petrochemicals, metals, agriculture and shipping. A division of McGraw Hill Financial, Platts is headquartered in London and employs over 1,000 people in more than 15 offices worldwide. Additional information is available at http://www.platts.com.
About McGraw Hill Financial: McGraw Hill Financial (NYSE: MHFI) is a leading financial intelligence company providing the global capital and commodity markets with independent benchmarks, credit ratings, portfolio and enterprise risk solutions, and analytics. The Company's iconic brands include Standard & Poor's Ratings Services, S&P Capital IQ and SNL, S&P Dow Jones Indices, Platts, CRISIL and J.D. Power. The Company has approximately 20,000 employees in 31 countries. Additional information is available at www.mhfi.com.
CONTACT: Global, Americas, Asia: Kathleen Tanzy, + 1 917 331 4607, kathleen.tanzy@platts.com, or EMEA: Arnaud Humblot +44 207 176 6685, arnaud.humblot@platts.com and Alex Brog +44 207 176 7645, alex.brog@platts.com, or Singapore: Platts (platts@ryancommunication.com)
Web Site: http://www.platts.com